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Early Bird vs Last Minute Pricing: Strategi Mana yang Lebih Untung?

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16 October 2025
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Early Bird vs Last Minute Pricing: Strategi Mana yang Lebih Untung?

The Pricing Dilemma

Salah satu keputusan paling crucial untuk EO: pricing strategy. Set terlalu murah = rugi. Set terlalu mahal = tidak laku. Timing juga matters!

Mari kita bedah dua strategi populer: Early Bird vs Last Minute Pricing.

What is Early Bird Pricing?

Early bird = tiket dijual lebih murah di fase awal, kemudian harga naik gradually menjelang event.

Example:

  • Phase 1 (Month 1-2): Rp150K (early bird)
  • Phase 2 (Month 3-4): Rp200K (normal price)
  • Phase 3 (Week before): Rp250K (last chance)

What is Last Minute Pricing?

Last minute = harga promo diberikan H-7 atau H-1 untuk mengisi sisa tiket yang belum sold out.

Example:

  • Regular price: Rp200K
  • H-7 flash sale: Rp150K
  • H-1 desperate sale: Rp100K

Early Bird Pricing: Deep Dive

Advantages

1. Cash Flow lebih Awal

Dapat uang 3-4 bulan sebelum event = bisa:

  • Book venue (biasanya deposit 50%)
  • Down payment for talents/speakers
  • Marketing budget
  • Reduce loan/hutang

2. Gauge Demand

Jika early bird laris → event will be successful!

Jika sepi → ada warning signs, bisa adjust strategy

3. Builds Momentum

"500 early bird tiket sold out dalam 2 hari!" = powerful social proof

4. Rewarding Loyal Fans

Fans sejati akan appreciate discount dan feel special

5. FOMO Marketing

"Only 100 early bird left!" creates urgency

Disadvantages

1. Revenue Opportunity Cost

Setiap tiket early bird = lost potential revenue

Example: 1,000 tiket @ Rp150K (should be Rp200K) = Rp50 juta lost

2. Backfire jika Event Postponed

Sudah terima uang, tapi event cancel/reschedule = refund headache

3. Cannibalization

Customer yang mau bayar full price jadi wait for early bird instead

4. Perceived Value Drop

Jika diskon terlalu besar, audience wonder: "Is the event worth it?"

Last Minute Pricing: Deep Dive

Advantages

1. Maximize Regular Price Sales

Sebagian besar tiket terjual di harga normal = higher revenue

2. Fill Empty Seats

Daripada seats kosong (0 revenue), mending jual murah (some revenue)

3. Spontaneous Buyers

Some people decide last minute = capture them!

4. Reduce Waste

Empty seats = wasted venue capacity, catering, etc

Disadvantages

1. Trains Bad Behavior

Customer learn to wait for last minute deal → hurt future events

2. Looks Desperate

"H-1 sale 50% off" = perceived as event flopped

3. Late Cash Flow

Uang masuk mepet event = can't use untuk preparation

4. Operational Nightmare

Sudden surge 2 hari before = overload registration system, staff, etc

The Data: Which Strategy Wins?

Study 1: Music Festival (5,000 capacity)

Early Bird Strategy:

  • Early bird (2,000 sold @ Rp150K): Rp300 juta
  • Normal (2,500 sold @ Rp200K): Rp500 juta
  • Last chance (500 sold @ Rp250K): Rp125 juta
  • Total: Rp925 juta

No Early Bird (Last Minute Only):

  • Normal (4,000 sold @ Rp200K): Rp800 juta
  • Last minute (1,000 sold @ Rp150K): Rp150 juta
  • Total: Rp950 juta

Result: Last minute won by Rp25 juta! But...

Hidden Costs Analysis

Early bird strategy had:

  • Cash flow 2 bulan lebih awal = save Rp10 juta interest
  • Better planning (know attendee number) = save Rp5 juta waste
  • Lower marketing cost (momentum) = save Rp20 juta

Adjusted Total: Early bird wins by Rp10 juta!

The Hybrid Approach (Best of Both Worlds)

Mengapa harus pilih salah satu? Combine them!

Recommended Pricing Structure

For event 3 bulan dari now, 1,000 capacity:

Phase 1: Super Early Bird (Month 1)

  • Price: Rp150K (25% off)
  • Quota: 200 tiket (20%)
  • Target: Loyal fans, early adopters

Phase 2: Early Bird (Month 2)

  • Price: Rp175K (12.5% off)
  • Quota: 300 tiket (30%)
  • Target: Interested buyers

Phase 3: Normal Price (Month 3, Week 1-3)

  • Price: Rp200K
  • Quota: 400 tiket (40%)
  • Target: General audience

Phase 4: Last Chance (Week before)

  • Price: Rp225K (12.5% premium)
  • Quota: 80 tiket (8%)
  • Target: FOMO buyers

Phase 5: Last Minute Flash Sale (H-3 if not sold out)

  • Price: Rp175K
  • Quota: 20 tiket (2%) - remaining seats
  • Target: Fill capacity

Why This Works

  • ✓ Cash flow di awal (phase 1-2)
  • ✓ Most revenue at normal price (phase 3)
  • ✓ Premium pricing for FOMO (phase 4)
  • ✓ Safety net for empty seats (phase 5)
  • ✓ Progressive pricing feels fair

Dynamic Pricing: The Advanced Strategy

Take it further: adjust harga based on demand real-time!

How It Works

Think of it like Uber surge pricing atau airline tickets:

  • Jika sales cepat → naikkan harga
  • Jika sales lambat → turunkan harga atau promosi
  • Algorithm adjust otomatis

Example

Target: 1,000 tiket dalam 90 hari

Scenario A (Going Well):

  • Day 30: 500 sold (on track!)
  • Action: Increase price dari Rp180K → Rp200K
  • Reasoning: Demand high, maximize revenue

Scenario B (Slow):

  • Day 30: 200 sold (below target)
  • Action: Flash sale Rp150K untuk 48 jam
  • Reasoning: Need momentum, prevent panic

Tools untuk Dynamic Pricing

  • Ticketmaster (built-in dynamic pricing)
  • Eventbrite (dengan add-on)
  • Custom algorithm (for tech-savvy organizers)

Psychology of Pricing

1. Anchor Effect

List "original price" yang lebih tinggi:

  • ~~Rp200K~~ → Rp150K feels like great deal!
  • Rp150K (tanpa anchor) → feels expensive

2. Charm Pricing

Rp199K vs Rp200K - psychologically different!

Study shows Rp199K sells 24% better than Rp200K

3. Decoy Pricing

Offer 3 options:

  • Regular: Rp200K
  • VIP: Rp500K (expensive, few buyers)
  • Premium: Rp350K ← Most will choose this (middle option)

4. Social Proof

"Join 5,000 other attendees!" vs "Buy ticket now"

First one performs 3x better!

Pricing Mistakes to Avoid

1. Terlalu Sering Diskon

Customer jadi terbiasa tunggu diskon = hurt normal price sales

2. Diskon Terlalu Besar (>40%)

Signals low value, desperate

3. Pricing Tidak Konsisten

Today Rp150K, tomorrow Rp200K, next week Rp120K = confusing!

4. Ignore Competitor Pricing

Research similar events, price competitively

5. Forget to Factor ALL Costs

Don't just think venue + talent. Include:

  • Marketing (15-20% of budget)
  • Payment gateway fee (3-5%)
  • Platform fee (5-10%)
  • Taxes (10% PPN)
  • Contingency (10%)

A/B Testing Your Pricing

Not sure which price works? Test!

Setup

  • Group A (50% traffic): See Rp180K
  • Group B (50% traffic): See Rp200K
  • Run for 2 weeks
  • Analyze conversion rate & total revenue

Metrics to Compare

  • Conversion rate (visitors → buyers)
  • Average order value
  • Total revenue
  • Cost per acquisition

Winner: Whichever gives higher revenue (not just conversion rate!)

Kesimpulan

Early Bird vs Last Minute? The answer: BOTH!

Use hybrid approach:

  • Early bird untuk cash flow & momentum
  • Normal pricing untuk bulk of revenue
  • Last minute untuk fill empty seats

Remember:

  • Price is not just a number - it's strategy!
  • Test, measure, iterate
  • Psychology matters as much as math
  • Don't race to the bottom with discounts

Now go set your pricing strategy dan watch those sales roll in! 💰

Sistem Tiket WhatsApp support multiple pricing tiers dengan mudah. Set early bird, normal, dan last minute dalam sekali setup!

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